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我们期望中美关係回暖


我们期望中美关係回暖
我们期望中美关係回暖

从对抗到对话,美中关係是否将迎来转机?

自2025年初重返白宫后,前总统唐纳·川普展开一系列出人意表的外交举措,其中尤以对中国大陆的关係调整最為引人注目。曾以激烈贸易战与科技封锁為主轴的川普,如今却频频释出善意,试图与北京重啟对话。这一策略转变,无疑透露出其对国际格局与国内经济战略的再思考。

领导人通话:互动升温的信号

2025年6月5日,川普与中国国家主席习近平举行了一场歷时约一个半小时的电话会谈,这是双方在川普復任总统后的首次正式沟通。会谈重点聚焦於经贸议题,双方同意在日内瓦会谈所达成的暂时性协议基础上,进一步推动实质磋商,并初步考虑互派高层访问。这场通话标誌着两国互动正在由“对抗冷淡”迈向“理性接触”的新阶段。

关税政策鬆动:从强硬到务实

川普向来以“美国优先”為外交口号,在第一任期曾对中国发动关税战,重创全球供应链。然而,在其最新一轮政策中,美国针对中国的关税措施出现一定程度的鬆动。自4月起,川普实施所谓“解放日”关税政策,对全球约60国加徵10%基础关税,但与中国则达成临时协议,双方对彼此商品的平均关税暂时调降,并设立90天休战期。

这一政策不仅显示美方在贸易上的战略灵活性,也反映出对国内经济与通膨压力的现实回应。中国方面则配合调整稀土与新能源產品的出口政策,作為外交诚意的具体展现。

外交主动权:川普愿赴陆会晤习近平

川普在媒体採访中主动表示,“我当然会”亲赴中国,与习近平面对面商谈经贸与全球战略议题。此一表态不仅出乎外界预料,也為中美两国关係带来新的想像空间。儘管白宫内部对此尚有不同声音,但川普个人的外交积极度无疑為中美互动增添了更多可能性。

战略算计:反向尼克松与地缘平衡

有分析认為,川普正在实施一种“反向尼克松”战略:过去美国藉由接近中国牵制苏联,如今则可能透过与俄罗斯改善关係,反向制衡北京。在乌俄战争局势胶着、美欧齟齬频仍的当下,川普试图以新的大国联盟重塑全球地缘格局,中美关係的“鬆”与“紧”也成為其中关键一环。

结语:对抗与合作之间的试探

川普试图改善与中国大陆的关係,并非单纯出於友好考量,而是源自经济现实与地缘博弈的重新权衡。在全球经济放缓、美国内部政治撕裂日益严重的背景下,中美两国若能在有限的空间内实现“斗而不破”、“竞争中合作”,或许能為世界局势带来一丝喘息的机会。

然而,改善之路并不平坦。从科技封锁到台湾问题,从人权议题到军事部署,双方矛盾依旧深层。川普的“试图”是否能真正转化為“成果”,仍需时间观察,也取决於北京方面是否愿意对等回应。

在这场权力与理性交织的角力中,中美关係的未来,仍在云雾中等待破晓。



Trump’s Attempts To Mend Ties With Mainland China

From Confrontation To Communication — Is A U.S.-China Reset Underway?

Since returning to the White House in early 2025, President Donald Trump has launched a series of unexpected diplomatic moves, chief among them a strategic shift in his approach toward mainland China. Once known for igniting a fierce trade war and leading a technological decoupling effort, Trump is now extending a long overdue olive branch — signaling a desire to restart dialogue and stabilize bilateral ties. This pivot reveals a new calculation shaped by shifting global dynamics and domestic economic pressures.

Leadership Dialogue: A Sign of Thawing Relations

On June 5, 2025, Trump held a 90-minute phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping — their first direct communication since Trump’s return to office. The conversation centered on trade and economic cooperation, with both leaders agreeing to build upon temporary understandings reached during the Geneva consultations. A potential exchange of high-level visits was also floated, marking a cautious, but notable shift, from “strategic hostility” to “rational engagement.”

Trade Truce: From Tariff Firepower to Practical Flexibility

Trump’s first term was marked by high-stakes tariff battles with China that disrupted global supply chains and soured bilateral trust. But in 2025, his trade strategy appears more calibrated. In April, Trump introduced the so-called “Liberation Day” tariffs, imposing a 10% baseline duty on imports from over 60 countries. Yet in contrast, the U.S. and China reached a temporary agreement to ease their mutual tariffs, initiating a 90-day trade ceasefire.

China reciprocated with policy adjustments on rare earth exports and green energy materials, sending a clear signal of its willingness to deescalate. These mutual concessions suggest a shared recognition that confrontation must give way — at least temporarily — to pragmatism.

Diplomatic Gestures: Trump Signals Willingness to Visit China

In media interviews, Trump declared he would “certainly” consider visiting China to meet with Xi in person — an unexpected message from a president once known for his hawkish tone on Beijing. Though the idea has sparked internal debate within the White House, Trump’s personal willingness to engage directly with China at the highest level reflects a calculated diplomatic openness.

Strategic Realignment: The “Reverse Nixon” Doctrine?

Some analysts describe Trump’s evolving foreign policy as a “Reverse Nixon” strategy — recalling how Richard Nixon once engaged China to counterbalance the Soviet Union. Today, Trump appears to be doing the opposite: exploring détente with Russia to strategically pressure China. As the Ukraine war drags on and tensions rise with NATO, Trump may be recalibrating America’s great power playbook with U.S.-China relations playing a central role in that realignment.

Conclusion: A Test of Will and Wisdom

Trump’s attempt to improve relations with China is not driven by goodwill alone, but by the reality of economic interdependence and shifting global power structures. As the U.S. grapples with inflation, geopolitical fatigue, and internal division, Trump seems to be testing whether Washington and Beijing can coexist in a framework of “competitive coexistence” rather than perpetual hostility.

Still, the road to reconciliation is far from smooth. Deep-seated tensions remain over tech restrictions, Taiwan, human rights, and military posturing. Whether Trump’s overtures will bear tangible results remains uncertain — and largely depends on how China responds to this recalibrated American stance.

In this complex contest of strength and statesmanship, the future of U.S.-China relations continues to unfold in the seemingly perpetual fog — waiting, perhaps, for the first light of a new dawn.